-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       log:  C:\temp\PA_LOG_file.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:   8 May 2003, 15:33:50

. set mem 80m;

Current memory allocation

                    current                                 memory usage
    settable          value     description                 (1M = 1024k)
    --------------------------------------------------------------------
    set maxvar         5000     max. variables allowed           1.733M
    set memory           80M    max. data space                 80.000M
    set matsize         400     max. RHS vars in models          1.254M
                                                            -----------
                                                                82.987M

. set matsize 200;

Current memory allocation

                    current                                 memory usage
    settable          value     description                 (1M = 1024k)
    --------------------------------------------------------------------
    set maxvar         5000     max. variables allowed           1.733M
    set memory           80M    max. data space                 80.000M
    set matsize         200     max. RHS vars in models          0.322M
                                                            -----------
                                                                82.054M

. use "C:\temp\PA_DTA_file.dta", clear;

. summarize _all;

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
    uniqueid |      5279     4522030     2391582      21950    9201992
     country |         0
          id |      5279    452.0059    239.1582          2        920
        year |      5279    1971.031    12.40115       1950       1992
    polityiv |      4471    9.458958    7.781557          0         20
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
      poly12 |      4663    9.478338    12.44197          0      47.11
     fhscore |      2533    7.547572    4.110995          2         14
     pcaplog |      4422    7.701958    1.009998   5.398163   10.37393
    rgdppcgr |      4298    2.137384    6.858262  -47.39726   189.7233
        open |      4401    54.67122    36.13284       4.67     423.41
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
         cpi |      3582    24.44699    27.04789          0   181.9031
       prime |      4441    12.04739    4.800677   .4930556       29.3
      second |      4301    3.267624    2.783957          0   16.41869
    presiden |      5279     .304982    .4604434          0          1
    parliamn |      5279    .3028983    .4595551          0          1
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------
     bksfrac |      4222    .2910503    .3144004          0      .9956
        oecd |      4434    .1955345    .3966563          0          1
         dv1 |      4471           1           0          1          1
         dv2 |      4663           1           0          1          1
         dv3 |      2533           1           0          1          1

. tis year;

. iis id;

. sort id year;

. tsset id year, yearly;
       panel variable:  id, 2 to 920
        time variable:  year, 1950 to 1992

. ***************************
> ***                                     
> *** Table 1 - Column 1  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse polityiv L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  68
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      2812
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =       105
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         2
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  26.78095
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        41
Estimated covariances      =      5565          R-squared          =    0.3500
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    864.48
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   3.614316   .2070782    17.45   0.000      3.20845    4.020181
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0184908   .0059518    -3.11   0.002    -.0301562   -.0068255
open         |
          L1 |   -.008624     .00362    -2.38   0.017    -.0157191   -.0015288
cpi          |
          L1 |  -.0089288   .0078991    -1.13   0.258    -.0244107     .006553
prime        |
          L1 |  -.0426942   .0350784    -1.22   0.224    -.1114467    .0260583
second       |
          L1 |   .0359183   .0715182     0.50   0.616    -.1042548    .1760915
presiden     |
          L1 |   .2450403   .2479717     0.99   0.323    -.2409754     .731056
parliamn     |
          L1 |     2.0606   .4095496     5.03   0.000     1.257897    2.863302
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   2.788066   .5141297     5.42   0.000      1.78039    3.795741
_cons        |  -17.81163   1.463294   -12.17   0.000    -20.67964   -14.94363
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .8151247
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 1 - Column 2  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse poly12 L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  68
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      2812
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =       105
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         2
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  26.78095
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        41
Estimated covariances      =      5565          R-squared          =    0.3765
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =   1814.86
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   6.579807   .3492945    18.84   0.000     5.895203    7.264412
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0375311   .0088284    -4.25   0.000    -.0548345   -.0202277
open         |
          L1 |   -.011757   .0067591    -1.74   0.082    -.0250046    .0014905
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0087789    .009421     0.93   0.351     -.009686    .0272438
prime        |
          L1 |  -.2124665   .0557997    -3.81   0.000    -.3218319    -.103101
second       |
          L1 |   .1206839   .1238747     0.97   0.330     -.122106    .3634738
presiden     |
          L1 |  -.0804754   .3821573    -0.21   0.833      -.82949    .6685392
parliamn     |
          L1 |   3.445869   .5479029     6.29   0.000     2.371999    4.519739
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   7.293854     .74063     9.85   0.000     5.842246    8.745462
_cons        |  -40.39606    2.28009   -17.72   0.000    -44.86495   -35.92716
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .8016501
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 1 - Column 3  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. drop if year == 1950;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1974;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1975;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1976;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1977;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1978;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1979;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1980;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1981;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1982;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1983;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1984;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1985;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1986;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1987;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1988;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1989;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1990;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1991;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1992;
(123 observations deleted)

. tsset id year, yearly;
       panel variable:  id, 2 to 920
        time variable:  year, 1951 to 1973

. xtpcse polityiv L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  11
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1245
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        84
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         1
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  14.82143
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        22
Estimated covariances      =      3570          R-squared          =    0.4402
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    425.13
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   2.805955   .3556721     7.89   0.000      2.10885    3.503059
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0129463   .0105498    -1.23   0.220    -.0336236     .007731
open         |
          L1 |  -.0161721   .0087777    -1.84   0.065    -.0333762     .001032
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0297156   .0301238     0.99   0.324    -.0293261    .0887572
prime        |
          L1 |   .0693771   .0606887     1.14   0.253    -.0495706    .1883247
second       |
          L1 |   .3675887   .1019877     3.60   0.000     .1676965    .5674809
presiden     |
          L1 |    .237548   .3765729     0.63   0.528    -.5005214    .9756173
parliamn     |
          L1 |    3.38986   .5614226     6.04   0.000     2.289492    4.490228
bksfrac      |
          L1 |    3.93112   .8938401     4.40   0.000     2.179226    5.683014
_cons        |   -14.5886   2.670045    -5.46   0.000     -19.8218   -9.355412
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7774888
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 1 - Column 4  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse poly12 L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  11
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1245
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        84
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         1
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  14.82143
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        22
Estimated covariances      =      3570          R-squared          =    0.4104
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    832.87
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   5.781833   .6190953     9.34   0.000     4.568429    6.995238
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0233743   .0131158    -1.78   0.075    -.0490808    .0023322
open         |
          L1 |   -.020594   .0157738    -1.31   0.192    -.0515101    .0103221
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0887661   .0503175     1.76   0.078    -.0098544    .1873865
prime        |
          L1 |   -.142472   .0764463    -1.86   0.062     -.292304    .0073599
second       |
          L1 |    .213273   .1828585     1.17   0.243    -.1451232    .5716691
presiden     |
          L1 |  -.0607407   .5690254    -0.11   0.915     -1.17601    1.054529
parliamn     |
          L1 |     5.0425   .6475769     7.79   0.000     3.773273    6.311728
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   8.050059   1.175784     6.85   0.000     5.745564    10.35455
_cons        |  -36.29186   4.213836    -8.61   0.000    -44.55083    -28.0329
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7881907
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. clear;

. use "C:\temp\PA_DTA_file.dta", clear;

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 1 - Column 5  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. drop if year == 1950;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1951;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1952;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1953;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1954;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1955;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1956;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1957;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1958;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1959;
(122 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1960;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1961;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1962;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1963;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1964;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1965;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1966;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1967;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1968;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1969;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1970;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1971;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1972;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1973;
(123 observations deleted)

. drop if year == 1974;
(123 observations deleted)

. tsset id year, yearly;
       panel variable:  id, 2 to 920
        time variable:  year, 1975 to 1992

. xtpcse polityiv L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  50
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1402
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =       105
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         2
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  13.35238
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        17
Estimated covariances      =      5565          R-squared          =    0.3938
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    822.01
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   3.371688   .2804273    12.02   0.000     2.822061    3.921316
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0227548   .0085433    -2.66   0.008    -.0394994   -.0060101
open         |
          L1 |  -.0085843   .0039769    -2.16   0.031    -.0163789   -.0007896
cpi          |
          L1 |  -.0022574   .0095017    -0.24   0.812    -.0208803    .0163656
prime        |
          L1 |  -.1018742   .0471553    -2.16   0.031     -.194297   -.0094515
second       |
          L1 |   .0546555   .0986312     0.55   0.579    -.1386582    .2479691
presiden     |
          L1 |   .5077061   .4157147     1.22   0.222    -.3070798    1.322492
parliamn     |
          L1 |   2.059088   .5915058     3.48   0.000     .8997576    3.218418
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   3.598425   .8689727     4.14   0.000      1.89527     5.30158
_cons        |  -16.29118   1.704199    -9.56   0.000    -19.63135   -12.95101
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .8188497
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 1 - Column 6  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse poly12 L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  50
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1402
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =       105
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         2
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  13.35238
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        17
Estimated covariances      =      5565          R-squared          =    0.4197
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =   1197.54
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   6.549495   .4920464    13.31   0.000     5.585102    7.513888
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0464564   .0137037    -3.39   0.001    -.0733152   -.0195975
open         |
          L1 |  -.0123603   .0083481    -1.48   0.139    -.0287224    .0040017
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0164142   .0128227     1.28   0.201    -.0087179    .0415464
prime        |
          L1 |  -.2357989   .0877217    -2.69   0.007    -.4077303   -.0638675
second       |
          L1 |   .1590905   .1705877     0.93   0.351    -.1752552    .4934363
presiden     |
          L1 |   .0105463   .6213059     0.02   0.986    -1.207191    1.228283
parliamn     |
          L1 |   2.924228   .8797709     3.32   0.001     1.199909    4.648547
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   7.424168   1.254376     5.92   0.000     4.965635      9.8827
_cons        |  -40.61183   2.899081   -14.01   0.000    -46.29392   -34.92973
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .8128536
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 1 - Column 7  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse fhscore L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  50
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1402
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =       105
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         2
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  13.35238
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        17
Estimated covariances      =      5565          R-squared          =    0.5785
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =   1345.52
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   2.236089   .1319191    16.95   0.000     1.977532    2.494645
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0097156   .0041234    -2.36   0.018    -.0177973   -.0016338
open         |
          L1 |  -.0040358    .002227    -1.81   0.070    -.0084007    .0003291
cpi          |
          L1 |  -.0032488   .0029807    -1.09   0.276    -.0090909    .0025932
prime        |
          L1 |  -.0378104   .0179417    -2.11   0.035    -.0729755   -.0026453
second       |
          L1 |   .0296798   .0423321     0.70   0.483    -.0532896    .1126492
presiden     |
          L1 |   .6073687   .1912934     3.18   0.001     .2324406    .9822968
parliamn     |
          L1 |    .767831    .230023     3.34   0.001     .3169942    1.218668
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   1.863914   .4651025     4.01   0.000     .9523297    2.775498
_cons        |  -9.713332   .8822629   -11.01   0.000    -11.44254   -7.984129
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7802127
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. clear;

. use "C:\temp\PA_DTA_file.dta", clear;

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 2 - Column 1  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse polityiv L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1 & oecd==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  7
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =       431
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        22
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =        10
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  19.59091
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        21
Estimated covariances      =       253          R-squared          =    0.6977
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =     40.80
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   3.339678   1.579083     2.11   0.034     .2447328    6.434623
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0444302   .0263886    -1.68   0.092     -.096151    .0072906
open         |
          L1 |   .0149691   .0093982     1.59   0.111    -.0034511    .0333892
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0027431   .0095027     0.29   0.773    -.0158818     .021368
prime        |
          L1 |   .1609025   .0476338     3.38   0.001     .0675419     .254263
second       |
          L1 |   .2342153   .0681855     3.43   0.001     .1005743    .3678563
presiden     |
          L1 |   1.717413   .9420305     1.82   0.068    -.1289334    3.563758
parliamn     |
          L1 |   .8981609   .9427479     0.95   0.341    -.9495911    2.745913
bksfrac      |
          L1 |    5.75646   2.297138     2.51   0.012     1.254153    10.25877
_cons        |  -20.23332   14.38169    -1.41   0.159    -48.42093    7.954278
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7960941
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 2 - Column 2  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse poly12 L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1 & oecd==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  7
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =       431
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        22
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =        10
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  19.59091
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        21
Estimated covariances      =       253          R-squared          =    0.5232
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    143.40
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   4.952035   2.633569     1.88   0.060    -.2096663    10.11374
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0912213   .0481044    -1.90   0.058    -.1855042    .0030615
open         |
          L1 |   .0432716   .0177008     2.44   0.015     .0085786    .0779647
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0193735    .024115     0.80   0.422    -.0278911    .0666382
prime        |
          L1 |  -.2719757   .1258518    -2.16   0.031    -.5186407   -.0253106
second       |
          L1 |  -.6912071   .1883477    -3.67   0.000    -1.060362   -.3220524
presiden     |
          L1 |   -1.10673   1.873697    -0.59   0.555    -4.779109    2.565648
parliamn     |
          L1 |    2.86267   1.607883     1.78   0.075    -.2887217    6.014062
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   16.97579   3.252964     5.22   0.000      10.6001    23.35148
_cons        |  -24.55308    24.2717    -1.01   0.312    -72.12474    23.01858
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .8447433
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 2 - Column 3  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse fhscore L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1 & oecd==1, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  7
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =       431
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        22
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =        10
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  19.59091
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        21
Estimated covariances      =       253          R-squared          =    0.8810
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    100.87
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   2.533798   .4814296     5.26   0.000     1.590213    3.477382
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0186568   .0095469    -1.95   0.051    -.0373683    .0000548
open         |
          L1 |   .0089739   .0028732     3.12   0.002     .0033424    .0146053
cpi          |
          L1 |   .0028339   .0043265     0.66   0.512    -.0056459    .0113136
prime        |
          L1 |   .1081351   .0210588     5.13   0.000     .0668607    .1494095
second       |
          L1 |   .1106491   .0343468     3.22   0.001     .0433307    .1779676
presiden     |
          L1 |   1.027451   .3393656     3.03   0.002     .3623065    1.692595
parliamn     |
          L1 |   .5219599    .296098     1.76   0.078    -.0583816    1.102301
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   2.931914    .693295     4.23   0.000      1.57308    4.290747
_cons        |  -14.93399   4.361941    -3.42   0.001    -23.48324   -6.384748
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7700762
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 2 - Column 4  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse polityiv L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1 & oecd==0, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  50
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1296
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        84
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         1
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  15.42857
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        21
Estimated covariances      =      3570          R-squared          =    0.2369
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    137.23
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   2.054904    .293807     6.99   0.000     1.479052    2.630755
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0149981   .0073464    -2.04   0.041    -.0293968   -.0005994
open         |
          L1 |  -.0025059   .0038355    -0.65   0.514    -.0100234    .0050115
cpi          |
          L1 |  -.0056449   .0106993    -0.53   0.598    -.0266151    .0153253
prime        |
          L1 |   .0138294   .0464603     0.30   0.766    -.0772311    .1048899
second       |
          L1 |   .0446351   .1055174     0.42   0.672    -.1621752    .2514454
presiden     |
          L1 |   .5460609   .3796999     1.44   0.150    -.1981372    1.290259
parliamn     |
          L1 |    2.11984   .6802813     3.12   0.002     .7865127    3.453166
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   3.566607   .8209401     4.34   0.000     1.957594     5.17562
_cons        |  -9.030775   1.837248    -4.92   0.000    -12.63172   -5.429834
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7855944
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 2 - Column 5  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse poly12 L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1 & oecd==0, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  50
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1296
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        84
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         1
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  15.42857
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        21
Estimated covariances      =      3570          R-squared          =    0.2246
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    188.76
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   2.891034   .5479402     5.28   0.000     1.817091    3.964977
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0340051   .0110602    -3.07   0.002    -.0556828   -.0123275
open         |
          L1 |   .0017706   .0060896     0.29   0.771    -.0101647    .0137059
cpi          |
          L1 |  -.0038065   .0109606    -0.35   0.728    -.0252888    .0176758
prime        |
          L1 |  -.0501207   .0707388    -0.71   0.479    -.1887662    .0885248
second       |
          L1 |   .2406491    .157875     1.52   0.127    -.0687802    .5500784
presiden     |
          L1 |   .7242638   .4883362     1.48   0.138    -.2328575    1.681385
parliamn     |
          L1 |   1.729339   .7991012     2.16   0.030     .1631292    3.295548
bksfrac      |
          L1 |    7.46478   1.090221     6.85   0.000     5.327986    9.601575
_cons        |  -18.15012   3.080201    -5.89   0.000     -24.1872   -12.11304
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7521036
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. ***************************
> ***                             
> *** Table 2 - Column 6  
> ***                             
> ***************************;
. xtpcse fhscore L1.pcaplog L1.rgdppcgr L1.open L1.cpi L1.prime 
>         L1.second L1.presiden L1.parliamn L1.bksfrac if dv1==1 & 
>         dv2==1 & dv3==1 & oecd==0, pairwise c(a);

Number of gaps in sample:  50
(note: computations for rho restarted at each gap)
(note: estimates of rho outside [-1,1] bounded to be in the range [-1,1])
(note: at least one disturbance covariance assumed 0, no common time periods
       between panels)

Prais-Winsten regression, correlated panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs)

Group variable:   id                            Number of obs      =      1296
Time variable:    year                          Number of groups   =        84
Panels:           correlated (unbalanced)       Obs per group: min =         1
Autocorrelation:  common AR(1)                                 avg =  15.42857
Sigma computed by pairwise selection                           max =        21
Estimated covariances      =      3570          R-squared          =    0.4021
Estimated autocorrelations =         1          Wald chi2(9)       =    233.70
Estimated coefficients     =        10          Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |           Panel-corrected
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
pcaplog      |
          L1 |   1.414381   .1373775    10.30   0.000     1.145126    1.683636
rgdppcgr     |
          L1 |  -.0068116   .0036873    -1.85   0.065    -.0140385    .0004153
open         |
          L1 |  -.0000317   .0021361    -0.01   0.988    -.0042185     .004155
cpi          |
          L1 |  -.0096774   .0040695    -2.38   0.017    -.0176535   -.0017013
prime        |
          L1 |   .0253181   .0200769     1.26   0.207     -.014032    .0646681
second       |
          L1 |   .0252436   .0458531     0.55   0.582    -.0646269    .1151141
presiden     |
          L1 |   .6165838   .1839765     3.35   0.001     .2559964    .9771712
parliamn     |
          L1 |   .4462197   .2917086     1.53   0.126    -.1255186    1.017958
bksfrac      |
          L1 |   1.626445   .4204406     3.87   0.000      .802397    2.450494
_cons        |  -4.690791   .8896448    -5.27   0.000    -6.434463   -2.947119
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .7593682
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. log close;
       log:  C:\temp\PA_LOG_file.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:   8 May 2003, 15:35:23
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

